Year: 2002

The Bear’s Lair: Japan at rock bottom

If you believe the media, the Japanese economy is in terminal decline. The government is engaged in pump-priming exercises, the yen is sinking, the banks’ loan portfolios are a black hole, and there is a terrible risk of — gasp! — deflation. Fear stalks the land.

The Bear’s Lair: Philosophy and failure

As many commentators have noted, perhaps the most important factor behind the Argentine collapse was the national philosophy, the zeitgeist if you want to be German about it, which caused a perennial policy bias towards government intervention and the hope of a free lunch. National philosophy is often a cause of economic failure; the question […]

The Bear’s Lair: IMF — Fix it or nix it

The Argentine collapse raises questions of the International Monetary Fund’s responsibility for the disaster. Its policy recommendations were ostensibly value-neutral, but in reality had a ratchet effect, causing the inexorable expansion of the Argentine public sector. It was this, as much as a misguided monetary policy, that pushed Argentina over the edge.