Month: March 2003

The Bear’s Lair: What to do with the oil

Once Saddam Hussein is defeated, the U.S.-led coalition that has defeated him will have its most difficult economic decision: what to do with Iraq’s oil revenues, to ensure that they benefit the Iraqi people as a whole, rather than simply fueling a destructive and greedy government machine.

The Bear’s Lair: How news moves the market

Friday’s unemployment numbers were truly dreadful — 308,000 job losses — yet the U.S. stock market, ignoring one of the most important monthly economic releases, was up on the day. According to accepted theory, this shouldn’t happen — new information should immediately be reflected in prices. What’s really going on?

The Bear’s Lair: Three years from the peak

Next Monday, March 10, is three years from the peak in the U.S. stock market, March 10, 2000, when the Nasdaq composite index closed at 5,048.62. In bear market terms, this is a very long time. Three years from the September 1929 peak, the stock market had already touched its nadir, in June 1932 (at […]