Month: April 2003

The Bear’s Lair: The productivity puzzle

U.S. multifactor productivity trends for 2001, for the private non-farm business sector, released with the minimum possible publicity April 8, show a drop in productivity of more than 1 percent in that year. Where then is the “productivity miracle” so beloved of Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan and others?

The Bear’s Lair: Risky risk management

In the last 20 years, the term “risk management” has come into general use, reflecting a belief by financial sector managers that a business’s risks can be “managed” by appropriate mathematical techniques. Regrettably, the techniques are faulty, and reliance on them increases risk rather than managing it.

The Bear’s Lair: The next Big Thing?

“The next big thing ain’t computers,” said Oracle Chief Executive Officer Larry Ellison in a Wall Street Journal interview recently. Is he right? If so, what is the next Big Thing and when can we expect to see it?

The Bear’s Lair: Weasels take over Britain

Tony Blair has gained enormous prestige and goodwill in the United States by his staunch support of the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq and by British troops’ substantial and superbly executed participation in it. But admirers of the Anglo-American alliance should beware: Economically, the weasels are taking over, and their political takeover cannot be far behind.