Year: 2009

The Bear’s Lair: The triumph of wishful thinking

According to the Congressional Budget Office the US budget deficit for the year to September 2009 will be $1.19 trillion, 8.3% of Gross Domestic Product, the largest in history. To this monster President-elect Barack Obama wishes to add a two-year stimulus of $800 billion or so. Broad money supply is rising by 20% per annum […]

The Bear’s Lair: Quarter-century fast forward

With an unpopular war, a deepish recession, an irresistibly growing public sector, excessively rapid money supply growth that may spark off inflation, a dangerously large payments deficit and a workforce excruciatingly vulnerable to international competition, the United States is today in a similar position to that of 1970-71. The current objective must surely be to […]