Fed Chairman-designate Kevin Warsh suffered through his congressional hearings this week and is due to take up his post on May 16, after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s term ends. With his objective of “keeping the Fed in its lane” there is much structural reform he can undertake to remove the Fed from meddling in non-monetary […]

The Iran War has now extended beyond the 4-6 weeks that President Trump originally projected, so the “tail risks” of prolonged war become ever more apparent. Those risks are fairly small at this stage, but as the war continues, its out-of-pocket costs will increase arithmetically, but its economic and fiscal downside risks will increase geometrically. […]

President Trump’s proposed Budget for the year to September 2027 includes $1.5 trillion for defense, up from $1 trillion in the current year. Even on its face, this would produce a dangerous widening of a U.S. budget deficit that is already 6% of GDP. However, defense spending involves an additional risk that the enthusiasts who […]

The Socialist re-election in Paris, accompanied by pictures of a garbage-strewn historic colonnade on the ultra-chic Rue de Rivoli, suggests that big city governance is plunging further into Stygian depths yet unplumbed. Others of the world’s major cities suffer from the same problems, notably London and New York but also Los Angeles and Berlin. This […]