prudent-bear

The Bear’s Lair: “Indigenous” – a new threat to our well-being.

First Peoples Worldwide is an organization devoted to the “indigenous movement” in economics, whereby competition will be replaced by co-operation and resource exploitation by harmony with nature. To simple minds schooled by modern Western education systems, this is a very attractive idea, and First Peoples’ YouTube video “Enoughness: Restoring balance to the economy” is a […]

The Bear’s Lair: Not a decent banker among them

In the last week, the detailed revelations from J.P. Morgan’s Senate grilling have combined with the Cyprus rescue blunder to generate one inescapable conclusion: public or private sector, European or American, there isn’t a decent, competent banker among them. Truly almost twenty years of funny money and 30-40 years of misguided deregulation have drained the […]

The Bear’s Lair: The non-existent Keynesian contradiction

The Keynesian U.S. commentariat, which includes quite a high percentage of nominal Republicans, has been proclaiming a “contradiction” between the needs of economic policy. The need to cut government spending to reduce the deficit is supposedly balanced by ill-effects from declines in government employment – even the Wall Street Journal’s economics blog claimed that the […]

The Bear’s Lair: Bretton Woods: Keynes’ Fall of Singapore

Benn Steil’s excellent new study “The Battle of Bretton Woods” (Princeton, 2013) focuses on the 1944 global monetary conference as a struggle between its two principal protagonists, the U.S. Treasury’s Harry Dexter White, and Britain’s celebrity economist, Maynard Lord Keynes. Even Steil, an American who has considerable sympathy with Keynes, is quite clear that he […]

The Bear’s Lair: Does any country deserve a AAA rating?

Britain lost its AAA credit rating from Moody’s last week, amidst much wailing from the government and cries of triumph from the opposition that had been largely responsible for the country’s declining creditworthiness. However, since the United States lost its AAA from Standard and Poor’s in 2011, with no visible adverse effects on its bond […]

The Bear’s Lair: Warren Buffett looks like a leading indicator

Warren Buffett’s political pronouncements are intellectually vacuous hot air. Yet I suspect he retains excellent investor’s instincts about the future trajectory of the U.S. economy. So when he manifestly overpays in a $28 billion acquisition of the food producer H.J. Heinz, we should listen, and ponder what the deal tells us about where we are […]

The Bear’s Lair: Greedy is NOT the opposite of Idle!

There’s no question that the U.S. economy of 1970 was less than rigorous in its use of management and workforce. The regulated commercial banking sector had a very easy life; the famous “borrow at 3%, lend at 6%, be on the golf course by 3 pm” quip was pretty close to reality except in the […]

The Bear’s Lair: How to revive Detroit

The City of Detroit is teetering on the edge of bankruptcy, with a team of auditors expected to report this month, after which Michigan Governor Rick Snyder may appoint an emergency financial manager. The reasons for Detroit’s decline are no secret: excessive taxes and spending led to an exodus of population, which was exacerbated by […]

The Bear’s Lair: Do development banks do more harm than good?

We were told this week that Myanmar had paid off its $6 billion debt arrears to the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank and the Paris Club of official creditors, with the help of $3 billion in debt forgiveness from Japan. This has already released $1 billion in new money from the Asian Development Bank […]

The Bear’s Lair: The missed Eisenhower opportunity

U.S. lovers of high taxes frequently refer nostalgically to the glories of the Eisenhower years, when the top rate of tax was 91%, claiming their prosperity proves there to be no negative supply-side effects from high income tax rates. But if you look at the data more closely, the U.S. economy of the Eisenhower years […]