The Bear’s Lair

The Bear’s Lair: The Incredible Shrinking Colleges

They laughed when he demonstrated his new communication device. A distinguished academic who had discovered the medium he was using had said there were no practical applications. Another distinguished British academic had failed to make such an apparatus practicable, despite prolonged efforts. As a young unknown foreigner, with no formal education beyond high school, how […]

The Bear’s Lair: Will Warsh be the Anti-Bernanke?

This column went on record before President George W. Bush’s selection of Ben Bernanke as Fed Chairman and said that of all the likely candidates, he would be the worst. In the next decade, that judgement was miserably justified. Now President Trump has avoided the funny-money favorite Rick Rieder of BlackRock and instead appointed Kevin […]

The Bear’s Lair: Britain needs an Amelia Party

The former cabinet ministers Suella Braverman and Robert Jenrick’s defections to the Reform party suggest that the disastrous “Conservative” governments of 2010-24 may indeed finally be extinguishing that long-lived and very occasionally illustrious party. Yet Reform’s Nigel Farage has shown himself prone to the faults of the 2010-24 “Conservatives” in barring original thinkers such as […]

The Bear’s Lair: What is the Right Price for Greenland?

President Trump wants the United States to buy Greenland, and European recalcitrance against the idea led him to impose further tariffs on the EU to spur negotiations. Trump’s negotiating techniques may be rough, but the geopolitical advantages of a U.S. takeover of Greenland are clear, and EU hatred of Trump should not be allowed to […]

The Bear’s Lair: The U.S. Needs a Much Humbler Fed

The most Important financial market news this week was not the U.S. Justice Department’s opening an investigation into Fed Chairman Powell over the Fed’s grossly mismanaged building project, but Powell’s hysterically arrogant and entitled response to it, which was joined by other central bank chiefs. The Fed Chairman is not above the law, and the […]

The Bear’s Lair: Trump-san, you’re running late 1980s Japan!

In major markets, there have been two occasions when stock market indices have crashed and stayed below their peak for a quarter-century. One was the U.S. in 1929, where the Dow Jones Industrial Index finally topped its 1929 peak in 1954. The other was Japan, where the December 1989 Nikkei peak of 38,915.87 was surpassed […]

The Bear’s Lair: The Battle for Expensive Labor

In a sound political system, it should be obvious that the principal task of politicians is to maximize the living standards and life quality of the people they govern. Given that truism, the politician’s principal economic aim should be to ensure that their constituents’ labor is as expensive as possible. This will ensure that new […]

The Bear’s Lair: What would bring the 1820s back again?

In discussing modern American, British or global politics, I often find myself on a different planet from other commentators, because my preferred political system is not that of any modern polity, but that of Britain under Lord Liverpool’s government from 1812 to 1827. Most of the policies were better in that government’s earlier years, but […]

The Bear’s Lair: Are bankers coming to their senses?

JP Morgan Chief Executive Jamie Dimon recently expressed a preference for Kevin Warsh over Kevin Hassett as the next Fed Chairman, on the grounds that Warsh is less likely to be influenced by President Trump’s calls for rate cuts. To one who has followed bankers for several decades (and been one in the distant past) […]

The Bear’s Lair: Thought Police Kill the Economy

Britain, the EU and Canada have instituted regimes of “thought police” where police departments randomly arrest those “guilty” of politically incorrect social media postings. They have also in recent years suffered economic growth rates far below their historic norms, which have produced a yawning gap between their living standards and those of the by no […]