The Bear’s Lair

The Bear’s Lair: Battling the cheap-labor lobby

President Trump’s announcement last week that the fee for H1B visa applicants would rise to $100,000 should be welcomed. The much-abused and abusive temporary worker H1B, H2A, and H2B visa programs, greatly expanded by the late unlamented President George H.W. Bush, have been artificially wrecking the living standards of ordinary Americans for decades. This is […]

The Bear’s Lair: Private Loan Sharks are the Economy’s Black Hole

The collapse of Tricolor, a $1bn subprime private credit lender making loans to those without Social Security numbers, is a rather small canary in a very large coal mine: the $3 trillion private credit industry. That industry has been fueled by “funny money” credit availability and represents a poisoning of the existing global credit system, […]

The Bear’s Lair: The United States Needs a Hereditary Peerage

President Trump will give former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani the Presidential Medal of Freedom, a more than well-deserved honor for Giuliani’s 1994-2002 tenure as the best Mayor of New York in history. However, the Medal of Freedom is not all that distinguished; there have been 674 recipients since its inauguration in 1963, there is […]

The Bear’s Lair: Central Bank Independence is a Dangerous Delusion

President Trump’s firing of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook has caused anguished squawking about the loss of Fed independence. Yet experience since 1998 has shown that Bank of England independence has produced worse outcomes than before, and the world’s independent central banks’ overall performance has been thoroughly third-rate. Central bank independence without firm policy guidelines […]

The Bear’s Lair: The Perils of Government Capitalism

President Trump’s decision to take a 10% share stake in Intel (Nasdaq:INTC) as part of the deal for the Biden administration’s excessive handouts to a failing company was arguably a good one. However, the original CHIPS Act was economically damaging while suggestions by NEC Chairman Kevin Hassett and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick that there might […]

The Bear’s Lair: Will Latin America make History flow backwards?

It is a long-standing view of the Left, for which there is a depressingly large amount of evidence, that the tide of History heads in only one direction — towards an authoritarian socialism that might as well be Communism. Less than three years ago I believed that in Latin America at least, authoritarian socialism had […]

The Bear’s Lair: The Proper Use of Economic Thinkers

When looking at industrialization in Austria-Hungary, I was struck by how little its governments used the superb “Austrian School” cadre of economists its universities were then producing – surely results could have been better than the sluggish bureaucratized industrialization the country actually achieved. Yet other societies, notably 18th and early 19th Century Britain, used their […]

The Bear’s Lair: The 29-year War on Economic Reality

President Trump’s firing of the Bureau of Labor Statistics chief Erika McEntarfer attracted much criticism, as government statistical agencies are claimed to be impartial. Such claims of impartiality should always be regarded with deep suspicion, as they generally conceal a noxious political agenda. When you look at the BLS’s statistical methods, its agenda becomes apparent. […]

The Bear’s Lair: Welcome to the Old World Order!

President Donald Trump’s tariff agreements with the EU, Japan and other countries have changed the economics of world trade; they have also revolutionized global politics. Far from the “New World Order” trumpeted by such Marxist-globalists as Klaus Schwab, late of the World Economic Forum, we are now returning to a much healthier late-19th century existence, […]

The Bear’s Lair: Japan Must Avoid Germany’s Error

In Japan’s recent Upper House elections, the ruling LDP-Komeito coalition under Shigeru Ishiba lost its majority (barely) but a more striking result was the success of the populist-right Sanseito party, which won 14 new seats in the Upper House. Like its German cousin AfD, Sanseito proposes a sensible mix of policies including strong opposition to […]